2013
HAASNOOT, M., KWAKKEL, J. H., WALKER, W.E., TER MAAT, J., 2013. Dynamic adaptive policy pathways: A method for crafting robust decisions for a deeply uncertain world. Global Environmental Change, In Press.2012
AUPING, W., PRUYT, E. & KWAKKEL, J. H., 2012. Analysing the Uncertain Future of Copper with Three Exploratory System Dynamics Models. In: Proceedings of The 30th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, 2012 St. Gallen, Switzerland.
EKER, S. & VAN DAALEN, C. E., 2012. Uncertainties in the Development of Unconventional Gas in the Netherlands. In: Proceedings of The 30th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, 2012 St. Gallen, Switzerland.EKER, S. & VAN DAALEN, C. E., 2012. Uncertainties in the Development of Unconventional Gas Production in Europe. 9th International Conference on the Europan Energy Market. EEM12, Florence, Italy.
EKER, S. & VAN DAALEN, C. E., 2012. Investigating the Effects of Uncertainties Associated with the Unconventional Gas Development in the Netherlands. Third International Engineering Systems Symposium CESUN 2012, Delft University of Technology, 18-20 June 2012. Delft, The Netherlands.
HAMARAT, C., KWAKKEL, J. & PRUYT, E. 2012. Adaptive Robust Design under deep uncertainty. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, In Press.
HAMARAT, C., KWAKKEL, J. H. & PRUYT, E., 2012. Optimal Adaptive Policymaking under Deep Uncertainty? Yes, we can!. Third International Engineering Systems Symposium CESUN 2012, Delft University of Technology, 18-20 June 2012. Delft, The Netherlands.
HAMARAT, C., KWAKKEL, J. H. & PRUYT, E. 2012. Adaptive Policymaking under Deep Uncertainty: Optimal Preparedness for the next pandemic. In: Proceedings of The 30th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, 2012 St. Gallen, Switzerland.
KEIJSER, B. M. J., KWAKKEL, J. H. & PRUYT, E. 2012. How to Explore and Manage the Future? Formal Model Analysis for Complex Issues under Deep Uncertainty. In: Proceedings of The 30th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, 2012 St. Gallen, Switzerland.
KOVARI, A. & PRUYT, E., 2012. Prostitution and Human Trafficking: A model-based exploration and policy analysis. In: Proceedings of The 30th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, 2012 St. Gallen, Switzerland.
KWAKKEL, J., AUPING, W. L. & PRUYT, E. 2012. Dynamic scenario discovery under deep uncertainty: The future of copper. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, In Press.
KWAKKEL, J. & PRUYT, E. 2012. Exploratory Modeling and Analysis, an approach for model-based foresight under deep uncertainty. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, In Press.
KWAKKEL, J. H. & SLINGER, J. H. 2012. A System Dynamics Model-Based Exploratory Analysis of Salt Water Intrusion in Coastal Aquifers. In: Proceedings of The 30th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, 2012 St. Gallen, Switzerland.
KWAKKEL, J. H. & TIMMERMANS, J. S. 2012. Exploratory system dynamics: a directed search for limits to global water use. In: Proceedings of The 30th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, 2012 St. Gallen, Switzerland.
KWAKKEL, J. H. & TIMMERMANS, J. S., 2012. Blue limits of the Blue Planet: an exploratory analysis of safe operating spaces for human water use under deep uncertainty. Third International Engineering Systems Symposium CESUN 2012, Delft University of Technology, 18-20 June 2012. Delft, The Netherlands.
KWAKKEL, J. H., WALKER W. E. & MARCHAU V. A. W. J., 2012. Assessing the efficacy of dynamic adaptive planning of infrastructure: results from computational experiments. Environment and Planning B: Planning and Design 39(3), 533 – 550.
KWAKKEL, J. H. & TIMMERMANS, J. S., 2012. Safe Operating Spaces for Human Water Use: Applying Exploratory Modeling and Patient Rule Induction to ANEMI. 2012 International Congress on Environmental Modelling and Software: Managing Resources of a Limited Planet, Sixth Biennial Meeting, Leipzig, Germany.
KWAKKEL, J. H. & HAASNOOT, M., 2012. Computer assisted dynamic adaptive policy design for sustainable water management in river deltas in a changing environment. 2012 International Congress on Environmental Modelling and Software: Managing Resources of a Limited Planet, Sixth Biennial Meeting, Leipzig, Germany.
LOGTENS, T., PRUYT, E. & GIJSBERS, G. W., 2012. Societal Aging in the Netherlands : Exploratory System Dynamics Modeling and Analysis. In: Proceedings of The 30th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, 2012 St. Gallen, Switzerland.
PRUYT, E. & COUMOU, J., 2012. Developing Scenarios for Deeply Uncertain Dynamically Complex Risks: Exploring Plausible Futures of Lyme Disease. In: Proceedings of The 30th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, 2012 St. Gallen, Switzerland.
PRUYT, E. & KWAKKEL, J. H., 2012. A Bright Future for System Dynamics: From Art to Computational Science and Beyond. In: Proceedings of The 30th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, 2012 St. Gallen, Switzerland.VAN DER PAS, J. W. G. M., KWAKKEL, J. H. & VAN WEE, B. 2012. Evaluating Adaptive Policymaking using Expert Opinions. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 79(2), 311-325.
YUCEL, G. 2012. A novel way to measure (dis)similarity between model behaviors based on dynamic pattern features. In: Proceedings of The 30th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, 2012 St. Gallen, Switzerland.
2011
BABU, N. P., KWAKKEL, J., LOUCKS, D. P. & WALKER, W. E. 2011. Capacity Planning under Nonstationary Uncertainties. In: AYYUB, B. M., ed. Proceedings of World Environmental and Water Resources Congress 2011: Bearing Knowledge for Sustainability, 2011 Hyattsville, MD.
DE HAAN, J., KWAKKEL, J. H., WALKER, W. E., SPIRCO, J. & THISSEN, W. A. H. 2011. Framing flexibility, Theorising and data mining to develop a useful definition of flexibility and related concepts. Futures, 43(9), 923-933.
HAMARAT, C. & PRUYT, E. 2011a. Energy Transitions: Adaptive Policy Making Under Deep Uncertainty. In: Proceedings of The 4th International Seville Conference on Future-Oriented Technology Analysis (FTA), 2011a Seville, Spain.
HAMARAT, C. & PRUYT, E. 2011b. Exploring the future of wind-powered energy. In: Proceedings of The 29th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, 2011b Washington DC, USA.
HAMARAT, C. & PRUYT, E. 2011c. Exploring the uncertainty of energy transitions: The case of world wind power. In: Proceedings of PICMET'11 Conference, 2011c Portland, USA. IEEE.
KWAKKEL, J. & PRUYT, E. 2011. Exploratory Modelling and Analysis, an approach for model-based foresight under deep uncertainty. In: Proceedings of The 4th International Seville Conference on Future-Oriented Technology Analysis (FTA), 2011 Seville, Spain.
KWAKKEL, J. H. & SLINGER, J. H. 2011. Strategies to combat salt water intrusion in coastal aquifers - a model-based exploratory analysis. In: TOUSSAINT, B., ed. Proceedings of 25th European Regional Conference of the International Commission Irrigation and Drainage, 2011 Groningen, Netherlands.
KWAKKEL, J. H. & VAN DER PAS, J. W. G. M. 2011. Evaluation of infrastructure planning approaches: An analogy with medicine. Futures, 43(9), 934-946.
KWAKKEL, J. H. & YUCEL, G. 2011. An Exploratory Analysis of the Dutch Electricity System in Transition. In: Proceedings of PICMET '11 Conference, 2011 Portland, USA. IEEE.
PRUYT, E. 2011a. Making System Dynamics cool III: New Hot Teaching & Testing Cases. In: Proceedings of The 29th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, 2011a Washington DC, USA.
PRUYT, E. 2011b. Mind Meets Heart: Smart Transition Management to Smarten Energy Systems in a Deeply Uncertain World. In: Proceedings of The 29th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, 2011b Washington DC, USA.
PRUYT, E. & KWAKKEL, J. 2011. To Radicalize or to Deradicalize? Is that the Question? In: Proceedings of The 29th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, 2011 Washington, USA.
PRUYT, E., KWAKKEL, J. H., YUCEL, G. & HAMARAT, C. 2011a. Energy Transitions towards Sustainability: A Staged Exploration of Complexity and Deep Uncertainty. In: Proceedings of The 29th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, 2011a Washington DC, USA.
PRUYT, E., LOGTENS, T. & GIJSBERS, G. 2011b. Exploring Demographic Shifts: Aging and Migration - Exploratory Group Model Specification & Simulation. In: Proceedings of The 29th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, 2011b Washington DC, USA.
PRUYT, E., SEGERS, J. & ORUC, S. 2011c. The Leadership Game: Experiencing Dynamic Complexity under Deep Uncertainty. In: Proceedings of The 29th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, 2011c Washington DC, USA.
YUCEL, G. & PRUYT, E. 2011. Energy Transition in The Dutch Dwelling Stock: Exploring the Extent of Inertia Against Change. In: Proceedings of The 29th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, 2011 Washington DC, USA.
YUCEL, G. & VAN DAALEN, E. 2011. A Simulation-based Analysis of Transition Pathways for the Dutch Electricity System. In: Proceedings of The 29th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, 2011 Washington DC, USA.
2010
DE HAAN, J. & KWAKKEL, J. H. 2010. Uncertainty Framed. In: INSUA, D. R. & DIAS, L. C. (eds.) 25th Mini-EURO Conference on Uncertainty and Robustness in Planning and Decision making (URPDM2010). University of Coimbra, Portugal.
KWAKKEL, J. H. & WALKER, W. E. 2010. Grappling with uncertainty in the long-term development of infrastructure systems. In: Proceedings of 3rd International Conference on Next Generation Infrastructure Systems for Eco-Cities, INFRA 2010, 2010 Shenzhen, China. IEEE.
KWAKKEL, J. H., WALKER, W. E. & MARCHAU, V. A. W. J. 2010a. Adaptive airport strategic planning. European Journal of Transportation and Infrastructure Research, 10(3), 249-273.
KWAKKEL, J. H., WALKER, W. E. & MARCHAU, V. A. W. J. 2010b. Assessing the Efficacy of Adaptive Airport Strategic Planning: Results from Computational Experiments. In: Proceedings of World Conference of the Transportation Research Society, 2010b Lisbon, Portugal.
KWAKKEL, J. H., WALKER, W. E. & MARCHAU, V. A. W. J. 2010c. Classifying and communicating uncertainties in model-based policy analysis. International Journal of Technology, Policy and Management, 10(4), 299-315.
KWAKKEL, J. H., WALKER, W. E. & MARCHAU, V. A. W. J. 2010d. From predictive modeling to exploratory modeling: How to use non-predictive models for decisionmaking under deep uncertainty. In: INSUA, D. R. & DIAS, L. C., eds. Proceedings of 25th Mini-EURO Conference on Uncertainty and Robustness in Planning and Decision making (URPDM2010), 2010d University of Coimbra, Portugal.
MEYERS, W., SLINGER, J., PRUYT, E., YUCEL, G. & VAN DAALEN, C. 2010. Essential Skills for System Dynamics Practitioners: A Delft University of Technology Perspective. In: Proceedings of The 28th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, 2010 Seoul, South Korea.
PRUYT, E. 2010a. Making System Dynamics Cool II: New Hot Teaching and Testing Cases of Increasing Complexity. In: Proceedings of The 28th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, 2010a Seoul, South Korea.
PRUYT, E. 2010b. Scarcity of minerals and metals: A generic exploratory system dynamics model. In: Proceedings of The 28th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, 2010b Seoul, South Korea. System Dynamics Society.
PRUYT, E. 2010c. Using Small Models for Big Issues: Exploratory System Dynamics for Insightful Crisis Management. In: Proceedings of The 28th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, 2010c Seoul, South Korea.
PRUYT, E. & HAMARAT, C. 2010a. The concerted run on the DSB Bank: An Exploratory System Dynamics Approach. In: Proceedings of The 28th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, 2010a Seoul, South Korea. System Dynamics Society.
PRUYT, E. & HAMARAT, C. 2010b. The Influenza A (H1N1) v Pandemic: An Exploratory System Dynamics Approach. In: Proceedings of The 28th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, 2010b Seoul, South Korea. System Dynamics Society. [Lupina Young Researchers Award, Best Poster Award]
VAN DER PAS, J. W. G. M., WALKER, W. E., MARCHAU, V. A. W. J., VAN WEE, G. P. & AGUSDINATA, D. B. 2010. Exploratory MCDA for handling deep uncertainties: the case of intelligent speed adaptation implementation. Journal of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis, 17(2), 1-23.
2009
KWAKKEL, J. H. & CUNNINGHAM, S. W. 2009. Managing polysemy and synonymy in science mapping using the mixtures of factor analyzers model. Journal of the American Society for Information Science and Technology, 60(10), 2064-2078.
KWAKKEL, J. H., WIJNEN, R. A. A., WALKER, W. E. & MARCHAU, V. A. W. J. 2009. A Fast and Simple Model for a Quick Scan of Airport Performance. In: Proceedings of 13th Air Transport Research Society World Conference, 2009 Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates.
PRUYT, E. 2009a. Cholera in Zimbabwe. In: Proceedings of The 27th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, 2009a Albuquerque, USA.
PRUYT, E. 2009b. Making System Dynamics Cool? Using Hot Testing & Teaching Cases. In: Proceedings of The 27th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, 2009b Albuquerque, USA.
PRUYT, E. 2009c. Saving a Bank? Cracking the Case of the Fortis Bank? In: Proceedings of The 27th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, 2009c Albuquerque, USA.
PRUYT, E. 2009d. The Soft Drugs Debate in the Netherlands: A Qualitative System Dynamics Analysis. In: Proceedings of The 27th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, 2009d Albuquerque, USA.
PRUYT, E., SLINGER, J. H., VAN DAALEN, C. E., YUCEL, G. & THISSEN, W. A. H. 2009. Hop, Step, Step and Jump Towards Real-World Complexity at Delft University of Technology. In: Proceedings of The 27th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, 2009 Albuquerque, USA.
VAN DAALEN, C. E., THISSEN, W. A. H., VERBRAECK, A. & BOTS, P. W. G. 2009. Methods for the modelling and analysis of alternatives. In: SAGE, A. P. & ROUSE, W. B. (eds.) Handbook of Systems Engineering and Management. 2nd ed. New York: John Wiley & Sons.
YUCEL, G. & VAN DAALEN, C. E. 2009a. Exploring the Interdependencies among Mechanisms Underlying Innovation Diffusion Dynamics. In: Proceedings of PICMET '09 Conference, 2009a Portland, USA. IEEE.
YUCEL, G. & VAN DAALEN, C. E. 2009b. The Impact of Aggregation Assumptions and Social Network Structure on Diffusion Dynamics. In: Proceedings of The 27th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, 2009b Albuquerque, USA.
YUCEL, G. & VAN DAALEN, E. 2009c. An Objective-Based Perspective on Assessment of Model-Supported Policy Processes. Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, 12(4), 3.
2008
DEENEN, R. E. M., VAN DAALEN, C. E. & KOENE, E. G. C. 2008. Maintenance performance improvement with System Dynamics: A Corrective Maintenance showcase. In: Proceedings of The 26th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, 2008 Athens, Greece.
PRUYT, E. 2008. Dealing with Multiple Perspectives: Using (Cultural) Profiles in System Dynamics. In: Proceedings of The 26th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, 2008 Athens, Greece.
PRUYT, E. & DE SITTER, G. 2008. ‘Food or Energy?’ Is that the question? In: Proceedings of The 26th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, 2008 Athens, Greece. [Best Poster Award ]
YUCEL, G. & VAN DAALEN, C. E. 2008a. Exploring Transition Dynamics: A Case-based Modeling Study. In: Proceedings of The Fifth Conference of the European Social Simulation Association (ESSA 2008), 2008a University of Brescia, Italy.
YUCEL, G. & VAN DAALEN, C. E. 2008b. Understanding the Dynamics Underlying Dutch Waste Management Transition. In: Proceedings of The 17th IASTED International Conference on Applied Simulation and Modelling, 2008b Corfu, Greece.
YUCEL, G. & VAN DAALEN, C. E. 2008. When does it really make a difference? Experimenting with the level of actor-heterogeneity in the context of modeling socio-technical transitions. In: Proceedings of The 26th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, 2008 Athens, Greece.
2007
MEZA, C. M. C., DIJKEMA, G. P. J. & VAN DAALEN, C. E. 2007. Scenario Analysis using System Dynamics Modelling: The case of Production Portfolio Change in the Dutch Paper and Board Industry. In: Proceedings of The 25th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, 2007 Boston, USA.
PRUYT, E. 2007a. Dealing with Uncertainties? Combining System Dynamics with Multiple Criteria Decision Analysis or with Exploratory Modelling. In: Proceedings of The 25th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, 2007a Boston, USA.
PRUYT, E. 2007b. The EU-25 Power Sector: a System Dynamics Model of Competing Electricity Generation Technologies. In: Proceedings of The 25th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, 2007b Boston, USA.
PRUYT, E. & KWAKKEL, J. H. 2007. Combining System Dynamics and Ethics: Towards More Science? In: Proceedings of The 25th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, 2007 Boston, USA.
PRUYT, E. & THISSEN, W. A. H. 2007. Transition of the European Electricity System and System of Systems Concepts. In: Proceedings of The 2007 IEEE SMC International Conference on System of Systems Engineering, 2007 San Antonio, TX, USA. IEEE.
2006
PRUYT, E. 2006a. System Dynamics and Decision-Making in the Context of Dynamically Complex Multi-Dimensional Societal Issues. In: Proceedings of The 24th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, 2006a Nijmegen, The Netherlands.
PRUYT, E. 2006b. What is System Dynamics? A Paradigmatic Inquiry. In: Proceedings of The 24th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, 2006b Nijmegen, The Netherlands.
Before 2006
ALTAMIRANO, M. A. & VAN DAALEN, C. E. 2004. A System Dynamics Model of Primary and Secondary Education in Nicaragua. In: Proceedings of The 22nd International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, 2004 Oxford, England, UK.
DE RIDDER, J., PAARLBERG, I., VAN DAALEN, C. E. & UBACHT, J. 2000. UMTS Growth Model, A System Dynamics Model for Simulating the Take-up of UMTS. In: Proceedings of The 18th International Conference of The System Dynamics Society, 2000 Bergen, Norway.
MAYER, I. S., VAN DAALEN, C. E. & BOTS, P. W. G. 2004. Perspectives on policy analyses: a framework for understanding and design. International Journal of Technology, Policy and Management, 4(2), 169-191.
PRUYT, E. 2004. System Dynamics Models of Electrical Wind Power. In: Proceedings of The 22nd International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, 2004 Oxford, England, UK.
ROETERINK, H. J. H., VERWATER-LUKSZO, Z., WEIJNEN, M. P. C. & VAN DAALEN, C. E. 2003. Improving the Logistic Performance in a Food Company Using a System Dynamics Model for the Internal Supply Chain: A Case Study. In: Proceedings of The 21st International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, 2003 New York City, USA.
VAN DAALEN, C. E., BOTS, P. W. G., HENDRIKS, M. J. A. & SLINGER, J. H. 2005. Translating insights from a causal loop diagram into a game. In: Proceedings of The 23rd International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, 2005 Boston, USA.
VAN DAALEN, C. E., DRESEN, L. & JANSSEN, M. A. 2002. The roles of computer models in the environmental policy life cycle. Environmental Science & Policy, 5(3), 221-231.
VAN DAALEN, C. E., THISSEN, W. A. H. & BERK, M. M. 1998. The Delft process: experiences with a dialogue between policy makers and modellers. In: ALCAMO, J., LEEMANS, R. & KREILEMAN, E. (eds.) Global Change Scenarios in the 21st Century: Results from the IMAGE 2.1 Model. Amsterdam: Elsevier Science.
To be included.
To be included.
KWAKKEL, J. & CUNNINGHAM, S. W. (accepted) 2012. Novel Scenario Methods for Strategy and Exploration. In: Proceedings of The International Conference on Innovative Methods for Innovation Management and Policy (IM2012), (accepted) 2012 Beijing, China.
KWAKKEL, J. H., WALKER, W. E. & MARCHAU, V. A. W. J. In Press. Assessing the Efficacy of Adaptive Airport Strategic Planning: Results from Computational Experiments. Environment and Planning Part B.
PRUYT, E. & KWAKKEL, J. H. 2011. Integrated Risk-Capability Analysis in National Safety and Security: State of the Art versus the State of Science. Submitted.
SLINGER, J. H. & KWAKKEL, J. H. (accepted) 2012. A Model-Based Exploratory Analysis of Vulnerability to Salt Water Intrusion in Coastal Aquifers. In: Proceedings of IWA-WCE 2012, (accepted) 2012 Dublin, Ireland.
PhD and MSc theses supervised by dr. Erik Pruyt:
BSc theses supervised by dr. Erik Pruyt:
SD Projects supervised by dr. Erik Pruyt: